Life Insurance Simulation in R

Document Type

Oral Presentation

Campus where you would like to present

Ellensburg

Event Website

https://digitalcommons.cwu.edu/source

Start Date

16-5-2019

End Date

16-5-2019

Abstract

Today’s life insurance companies are highly regulated on the state level and they must adhere to strict mathematic formulation. All their financial products are also reviewed by states regulators. Under such constraints, our project aims to simulate if the insurance companies are still profitable under these strict regulations. For this purpose, we used the R language code to calculate the net simple premium of whole life insurance based on mortality data from the Society of Actuaries database. Then, we simulate the profit result with 10000 life insurance policies (clients) for about 100 years, where the ages of the insured and the benefit payment are randomly created from a uniform distribution and the random death ages of the insured are created based on mortality tables. We utilize 2D and 3D plots to visualize the result more intuitively. Moreover, to improve the speed of the R code, we embedded C code within R, which made the simulation significantly faster. Our simulation results show that if the beneficial interest and the investment interest are the same, then the final profit of the insurance companies varies between positive and negative values, so to always maintain a positive profit, the insurance companies should invest the collected premiums with slightly higher interest than the beneficial interest.

Faculty Mentor(s)

Donald Davendra

Department/Program

Computer Science

Slides.pdf (864 kB)
Slides for SOURCE 2019 presentation Yepdjio

Surface3DProfitValues.html (3924 kB)
Surface 3D Profit Values

Additional Files

Slides.pdf (864 kB)
Slides for SOURCE 2019 presentation Yepdjio

Surface3DProfitValues.html (3924 kB)
Surface 3D Profit Values

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May 16th, 12:00 AM May 16th, 12:00 AM

Life Insurance Simulation in R

Ellensburg

Today’s life insurance companies are highly regulated on the state level and they must adhere to strict mathematic formulation. All their financial products are also reviewed by states regulators. Under such constraints, our project aims to simulate if the insurance companies are still profitable under these strict regulations. For this purpose, we used the R language code to calculate the net simple premium of whole life insurance based on mortality data from the Society of Actuaries database. Then, we simulate the profit result with 10000 life insurance policies (clients) for about 100 years, where the ages of the insured and the benefit payment are randomly created from a uniform distribution and the random death ages of the insured are created based on mortality tables. We utilize 2D and 3D plots to visualize the result more intuitively. Moreover, to improve the speed of the R code, we embedded C code within R, which made the simulation significantly faster. Our simulation results show that if the beneficial interest and the investment interest are the same, then the final profit of the insurance companies varies between positive and negative values, so to always maintain a positive profit, the insurance companies should invest the collected premiums with slightly higher interest than the beneficial interest.

https://digitalcommons.cwu.edu/source/2019/Oralpres/113