Title

2020 U.S. Democratic Nomination: Analysis

Document Type

Oral Presentation

Campus where you would like to present

Ellensburg

Event Website

https://digitalcommons.cwu.edu/source

Start Date

18-5-2020

Abstract

An election for the President of the United States happens every four years and is the largest political event in the USA. Leading up to the general election, most of the candidates running for president go through a series of state primaries and caucuses. Although these primaries and caucuses are run differently, they both serve the same purpose. They allow every party to choose their nominee for the general election. The campaigning process lasts a year for most candidates and cost millions of dollars in advertising, outreach, and traveling. As the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2020 is guaranteed to be President Donald Trump, we will only focus on Democratic nomination process. In this research, the focus will be monitoring polling data for Democratic Party candidates, analyzing data from fundraising and advertising spending, and number of delegates awarded for candidates. This report takes real-time data to determine if opinion polls, fundraising data, and advertising expenses truly predict how people will vote. To find the correlation between fundraising, advertising spending and number of delegates awarded for candidates, basic statistical methods to the 2019-2020 Democratic Primary election cycles were applied.

Faculty Mentor(s)

Donald Davendra

Department/Program

Computer Sciences

Additional Mentoring Department

https://cwu.studentopportunitycenter.com/2020/04/2020-u-s-democratic-nomination-analysis/

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May 18th, 12:00 PM

2020 U.S. Democratic Nomination: Analysis

Ellensburg

An election for the President of the United States happens every four years and is the largest political event in the USA. Leading up to the general election, most of the candidates running for president go through a series of state primaries and caucuses. Although these primaries and caucuses are run differently, they both serve the same purpose. They allow every party to choose their nominee for the general election. The campaigning process lasts a year for most candidates and cost millions of dollars in advertising, outreach, and traveling. As the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2020 is guaranteed to be President Donald Trump, we will only focus on Democratic nomination process. In this research, the focus will be monitoring polling data for Democratic Party candidates, analyzing data from fundraising and advertising spending, and number of delegates awarded for candidates. This report takes real-time data to determine if opinion polls, fundraising data, and advertising expenses truly predict how people will vote. To find the correlation between fundraising, advertising spending and number of delegates awarded for candidates, basic statistical methods to the 2019-2020 Democratic Primary election cycles were applied.

https://digitalcommons.cwu.edu/source/2020/COTS/44