Title

Exploring Optimal Lockdown Policies During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Document Type

Oral Presentation

Event Website

https://source2022.sched.com/

Start Date

19-5-2022

End Date

19-5-2022

Keywords

COVID-19, Disease Modeling, Epidemiology, Sustainability

Abstract

COVID-19 has impacted public and economic health worldwide. To bolster the economy and maintain human life, economic and epidemiological research is vital. Nations have implemented lockdowns intent on slowing the spread of the virus. This research examines how lockdown parameter adjustments can help control a nations fatalities. The study incorporated an SIRD disease model that is simulated over a 365 day period. The goal of the research is to take the SIRD model and incorporate further parameters to simulate a lockdown. Being able to observe the outcome of the model simulation may provide insight to the importance of lockdown intensity for the future. I hope to use this model to create a minimization function that analyzes dynamics that best produce minimal loss of GDP as well as low loss of life in a lockdown.

Faculty Mentor(s)

Sooie-Hoe Loke

Department/Program

Applied Mathematics

Additional Mentoring Department

Mathematics

Additional Mentoring Department

McNair Scholars Program

Streaming Media

Additional Files

Bundy, Cameron COVID19 SOURCE PP.pptx (1379 kB)
Slides

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May 19th, 12:00 AM May 19th, 12:00 AM

Exploring Optimal Lockdown Policies During the COVID-19 Pandemic

COVID-19 has impacted public and economic health worldwide. To bolster the economy and maintain human life, economic and epidemiological research is vital. Nations have implemented lockdowns intent on slowing the spread of the virus. This research examines how lockdown parameter adjustments can help control a nations fatalities. The study incorporated an SIRD disease model that is simulated over a 365 day period. The goal of the research is to take the SIRD model and incorporate further parameters to simulate a lockdown. Being able to observe the outcome of the model simulation may provide insight to the importance of lockdown intensity for the future. I hope to use this model to create a minimization function that analyzes dynamics that best produce minimal loss of GDP as well as low loss of life in a lockdown.

https://digitalcommons.cwu.edu/source/2022/COTS/22